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Research/Flagship Reports
Published March 202671 pagesFrancesco · Noveleader

The Evolution of Commodities

State of Commodities and a Quantitative Analysis of the Growth of these Markets Onchain

Data snapshot: March 2026. Figures are preserved from the published report and are not live market data.

“If onchain commodity trading follows the Globex pattern, we are in approximately 1995.”

▮ The numbers that matter

$7.4B
Tokenised spot commodities, 4x in one year
$1.4B+
Commodity perp OI on Hyperliquid
$143T
Annual notional moved by global commodity markets
$45B+
Ostium cumulative volume, >95% non-crypto OI
+227%
Tokenised gold volume YoY ($178B in 2025)
30x
Weekend oil-perp volume growth in three weeks

Executive Summary

Tokenised spot commodities grew from $1.9 billion to more than $7 billion in one year, while commodity perpetual open interest on Hyperliquid passed $1.4 billion. The report compares the CME crude-oil contract with Hyperliquid's xyz:CL market to measure how 24/7 onchain venues handle price discovery, liquidity and execution outside traditional market hours.

Key findings

  1. 01Tokenised spot commodities reached $7.4 billion, with tokenised gold responsible for most of the category.
  2. 02Commodity perpetual open interest on Hyperliquid exceeded $1.4 billion as HIP-3 expanded access to metals, energy and equity indices.
  3. 03CME revealed liquidity was 109 times deeper within 5 basis points, while xyz:CL weekend volume rose from $31 million to more than $1 billion across the three-week study.

Covered in the report

HyperliquidTrade XYZOstiumCME GroupTether GoldPaxos GoldAsterBinanceJPMorgan Kinexys

Inside

  1. 01The Trillion Dollar Friction Machine
  2. 02State of Onchain Commodities
  3. 03Onchain Trading Pits: Hyperliquid & Ostium
  4. 04The CME: Status Quo Under Stress
  5. 05Comparative Analysis: xyz:CL vs CLJ6
  6. 06Quantitative Analysis: Overlapping Hours & Weekends

Method and Data Boundary

Castle mapped tokenised spot and perpetual markets, then compared CME CLJ6 trades from Databento with Hyperliquid xyz:CL fills from 27 February to 16 March 2026. Depth and slippage use executed fills rather than resting order-book quotes.

Published
March 2026
Data snapshot
March 2026